Vistra Energy Corp Stock Performance

VST Stock  USD 173.89  2.93  1.66%   
Vistra Energy has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.47, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform. Vistra Energy Corp right now has a risk of 3.45%. Please validate Vistra Energy semi variance, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Vistra Energy will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vistra Energy Corp are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Vistra Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.66)
Five Day Return
1.9
Year To Date Return
5.24
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0052
Payout Ratio
0.4175
Last Split Factor
1:50
Forward Dividend Rate
0.91
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Vistra Energy dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
1
Vivid Wealth Management LLC Takes 2.80 Million Position in Vistra Corp. VST
01/13/2026
2
Vistra Stock Can Gain 78, Says Pro. Heres What itll Take.
01/20/2026
3
This power stock has 30 percent upside thanks to future data center deals, Jefferies says
02/10/2026
4
Better Utility Stock Constellation Energy vs. Vistra
02/11/2026
5
Goldman flags 10 energy stocks poised to rally as the sector crushes the SP 500 in 2026
02/13/2026
6
Meridian Hedged Equity Fund Maintains Confidence in Vistra Corp.
02/17/2026
7
If You Invested 1000 In Vistra Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today
02/18/2026
8
Vistra Corp. Plans Dividend Increase 0.23 Per Share
02/20/2026
9
Vistra Valuation Check After Strong Multi Year Returns And A Pause In Share Price Momentum
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.4 B

Vistra Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,231  in Vistra Energy Corp on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  158.00  from holding Vistra Energy Corp or generate 0.92% return on investment over 90 days. Vistra Energy Corp is generating 0.0737% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.4512% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Vistra, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vistra Energy is expected to generate 4.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Vistra Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vistra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 173.89 90 days 173.89 
about 14.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vistra Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.44 (This Vistra Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Vistra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Vistra Energy Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vistra Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vistra Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vistra Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
170.49173.94177.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.50185.41188.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
176.62180.07183.52
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
209.30230.00255.30
Details

Vistra Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vistra Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vistra Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vistra Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vistra Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.47
σ
Overall volatility
8.09
Ir
Information ratio 0

Vistra Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vistra Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vistra Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vistra Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Analysts Turn Bullish on Xcel Energy Amid Data Center Boom

Vistra Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vistra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vistra Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vistra Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding339.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 B

Vistra Energy Fundamentals Growth

Vistra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vistra Energy, and Vistra Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vistra Stock performance.

About Vistra Energy Performance

Assessing Vistra Energy's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Vistra Energy's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Vistra Energy is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(0.08)(0.07)
Return On Tangible Assets(0.68)(0.65)
Return On Capital Employed(0.27)(0.26)
Return On Assets 0.24  0.26 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.18 

Things to note about Vistra Energy Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vistra Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vistra Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vistra Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Analysts Turn Bullish on Xcel Energy Amid Data Center Boom
Evaluating Vistra Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vistra Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vistra Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vistra Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vistra Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vistra Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vistra Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vistra Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vistra Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vistra Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vistra Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis

When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.