Vistra Energy Corp Stock Performance

VST Stock  USD 153.02  1.24  0.80%   
The entity has a beta of 1.34, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform. At this point, Vistra Energy Corp has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to validate Vistra Energy's value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and relative strength index , to decide if Vistra Energy Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vistra Energy Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.58)
Five Day Return
(7.07)
Year To Date Return
(6.64)
Ten Year Return
895.23
All Time Return
895.23
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0056
Payout Ratio
0.5534
Last Split Factor
1:50
Forward Dividend Rate
0.91
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Vistras Options A Look at What the Big Money is Thinking
12/29/2025
 
Vistra Energy dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
2
Intel Stock Pops After Trump Praises CEO Lip-Bu Tan
01/09/2026
3
Vistra Shares Up 3.7 percent Time to Buy
01/13/2026
4
Thames Capital Management LLC Sells 17,036 Shares of Vistra Corp. VST
01/16/2026
5
Is Oklo Stock a Buy in 2026 After Its Nuclear Deal With Meta
01/21/2026
6
Is GE Vernova the Smartest Investment You Can Make Today
01/22/2026
7
Income Investor Alert Buy Constellation Energy While Its Below 310
01/23/2026
8
Disposition of 19200 shares by James Burke of Vistra Energy at 215.06 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
9
Kornitzer Capital Management Inc. KS Reduces Stock Position in Vistra Corp. VST
01/27/2026
10
Vistra Valuation Check After PJM Regulatory Concerns And Long Term Meta Nuclear Deal
01/29/2026
11
How Vistras Long-Term Nuclear Deal With Meta Amid PJM Scrutiny Will Impact Vistra Investors
01/30/2026
12
Should We Be Delighted With Vistra Corp.s ROE Of 23
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.3 B

Vistra Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,913  in Vistra Energy Corp on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,487) from holding Vistra Energy Corp or give up 18.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vistra Energy Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.4291% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Vistra, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vistra Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Vistra Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vistra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 153.02 90 days 153.02 
over 95.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vistra Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.33 (This Vistra Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Vistra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Vistra Energy Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vistra Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vistra Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vistra Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.39153.82157.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
138.83178.27181.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
145.48148.91152.34
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
209.35230.05255.36
Details

Vistra Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vistra Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vistra Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vistra Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vistra Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
10.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Vistra Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vistra Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vistra Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vistra Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vistra Energy Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Vistra Energy paid $ 0.227 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should We Be Delighted With Vistra Corp.s ROE Of 23

Vistra Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vistra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vistra Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vistra Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding352.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Vistra Energy Fundamentals Growth

Vistra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vistra Energy, and Vistra Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vistra Stock performance.

About Vistra Energy Performance

Assessing Vistra Energy's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Vistra Energy's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Vistra Energy is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 34.85  27.01 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.20 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.55  0.42 

Things to note about Vistra Energy Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vistra Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vistra Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vistra Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vistra Energy Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Vistra Energy paid $ 0.227 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should We Be Delighted With Vistra Corp.s ROE Of 23
Evaluating Vistra Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vistra Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vistra Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vistra Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vistra Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vistra Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vistra Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vistra Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vistra Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vistra Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vistra Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis

When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.